Showing posts with label brooking institution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label brooking institution. Show all posts

Monday, January 20, 2014

Currency manipulation issues in trade agreements - To be or not to be?

Fred Bergsten's latest Peterson Institute's Policy Brief titled "Addressing Currency Manipulation through Trade Agreements" arguing for currency issues to be taken up in regional trade agreements is found here.

For a contrarian view, that currency manipulation issues should not find place in trade agreements, read this piece in Mireya Solis in the Brookings Institution blog.
"For the many reasons highlighted above, TPP countries are unlikely to agree that the current proposals in the United States on currency manipulation are a faithful interpretation of the IMF principles to which they already subscribe. Demanding that American trade negotiators introduce such a chapter at this critical stage in the negotiation process is akin to throwing a wrench in the works of the single most important trade initiative under way: one that will determine whether the United States is a key actor in shaping an Asian regional economic architecture or not, and one that will also affect the fate of negotiations with Europe. It would also mean that the United States is prepared to forego the possibility of a future Chinese entry into the TPP and give up the sizable benefits of promoting greater market reform, regulatory transparency, and compliance with intellectual property rules, to name just a few. All of this, for the sake of an unworkable proposal on currency manipulation."
Currency manipulation provisions in trade agreements - Imminently feasible or unreasonably optimistic?

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Metro cities and International trade

(Courtesy:forum.skyscraperpage.com)

A very interesting piece by Brookings Institution on the inextricable relationship between growth of international trade and metro cities is found here. Titled "Metropolitan Trade:Cities Return to Their Roots in the Global Economy" it argues that metro cities have been, over the centuries, the hub of economic activity and international trade. They have been the engines of international trade because of their emphasis on innovation, specialization and being potential markets. The point that cities and not nation states spur international trade makes an important point about the centrality of urban growth to trade.
"Trade defines a metro economy’s global economic character. Not all cities are “global cities” in the way that researchers have defined the term, but all cities are touched by the process of globalization by virtue of their distinctive specializations and positions in complex global supply chains. Not only New York, London, and Tokyo, but also São Paulo, Buenos Aires, and Seoul lead in the production of advanced services. Madrid, Hong Kong, and Dubai are centers of media and information. Nagoya, Hannover, and Milwaukee are globally significant manufacturing hubs. And U.S. metro areas such as Wichita, Greenville, and Portland rank among the nation’s most trade-oriented economies by virtue of their world-class local industry clusters."
What implication does this analysis have for countries that are largely rural in nature with the majority of the population being reliant on agricultural activity? Does international trade have a minimal impact on rural communities? Are only large metro cities the major benefactors? Can the fruits of trade be spread so that communities across the country are benefitted? While metro cities are the engines of international trade is there a way to broad base the benefits and multiplier effects of trade so that larger communities are positively impacted? How does one participate in the global economy in a local setting? Unless this issue is tackled, the criticism that international trade and globalization increases inequities may be difficult to address. 

The reality of inequity and some strategies are discussed here by Uri Dadush and Kemal   Dervis in their "The Inequality Challenge". 
"Inequality in the world defies simple characterization. Over the past 30 years, hundreds of mil- lions of the world’s poorest people have seen their lot improve as the forces of technology, global- ization, and better macroeconomic policies have transformed the globe. A large middle class has emerged in some of the world’s largest and rela- tively poor countries. At the same time, in most countries, the relatively affluent have seen their incomes soar, and in some instances their share of national income has increased so rapidly that the bulk of the population has seen little gain.
Sustaining the transformational force of technology and globalization, and the impetus they are providing to the growth of the global economy, while mitigating their polarizing effect within countries, is likely to prove one of the twenty-first century’s great challenges. It is unlikely, and indeed undesirable, that either globalization or technological advances will be stopped. Still, a failure of public policy to promote greater balance in the distribution of the gains accruing to society as a whole could result in fissures so deep that our ability to derive the benefits of the new age could be severely impaired." 
Can international trade be made more equitable catering to the large rural population we have? How should trade policy address this question? While developing metro cities to be the hubs of economic activity to facilitate trade is of primary concern, how do we make the benefits of trade more inclusive and impactful?